There is always an “opportunity cost of doing nothing “. The failure to reap the benefits of an effective intervention. “The benefits”, as said by Amartya Sen Nobel prize winner writes in his book “end up being a bundle of good things — or averted bad things”
The international humanitarian and development community does not like uncertainty. Although increasingly effective in many ways, recent crises in East and West Africa have exposed long-standing weaknesses in how that community copes with uncertain information about emerging risks and future threats. Take the warnings leading up to the 2011 food crisis in the Horn ofContinue reading “Understanding uncertainty to prevent humanitarian crises”
@ Understanding uncertainty to prevent humanitarian criseshttp://www.shmfakhruddin.com/main/index.php?type=special&area=1&p=articles&id=86
See my article on Understanding uncertainty to prevent humanitarian crises – SciDev.Net.
@ ENSEMBLES FLOOD FORECASTING FOR COMMUNITY LEVEL RISK MANAGEMENThttp://www.shmfakhruddin.com/main/index.php?type=review&area=1&p=articles&id=84
Past historical data is not good enough to predict future extreme weather events. Any evidence ?